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26 August 2011

 

Forex demo trading results from 22 to 26 Aug 2011

22 winners(67%, with a lot of water...lol, 2 of them not shown) and 11 losers(33%).

I'll continue the demo trading exercises using existing two strategies until past deficit is removed in demo account.

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24 August 2011

 

DBS STI ETF 100

bought 100 units at 2.83 on 24 Aug 2011.

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23 August 2011

 

DBS STI ETF 100

bought 100 units at 2.79 on 23 Aug 2011.

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22 August 2011

 

Why and How to do long term investment in STI ETF using Dollar Cost Averaging Method?

I have been acumulating both SPDR STI ETF (monthly) and DBS STI ETF (daily) for long term (20 to 30 years) investment after long term and careful calculations and considerations. I think this is the only way for small timers like me to make solid and consistent profit in the cruel and vicious stock market in the long term.

Based on my calculations, STI consistently returned 7 to 8% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) to long term investors in the past 31.4 years.

Breakdown of return is

about 5% capital appreciation (CAGR basis),

> 2% annual dividend,

plus cost savings of about 0.65%
if Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) method is used.

Now I added one more dimension to DCA method in addition to those three fators mentioned above called DCA+ which means amount per month is not fixed, rather, it fluctuates with STI rolling PE (at 12 currently as at 22 Aug 2011). 12 is my base for calculating amount of money to be invested in each month. When STI rolling PE is at 12, I invest S$8333 per month, so to say; at 15, 6667; at 14, 7143; at 13, 7692; at 11, 9091; at 10, 10000; at 9, 11111; at 8, 12500; at 7, 14286; at 6, 16667; at 5, 20000; at 4, 25000; at 3, 33333; at 2, 50000; at 1, 100000. You may have seen that I'll invest more per month if STI rolling PE drops, less if STI rolling PE rises. but I'm only willing to invest when STI rolling PE is below 15.

Based on historic record, the lowest PE is 6.

I believe it can further improve rate of return by factoring in this approach when using DCA method.

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DBS STI ETF 100

bought 100 units at 2.78 on 22 Aug 2011.

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20 August 2011

 

Forex demo trading results from 15 to 20 Aug 2011

11 winners(50%) and 11 losers(50%).

I'll continue the demo trading exercises using existing two strategies until past deficit is removed in demo account.




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19 August 2011

 

DBS STI ETF 100

bought 200 units at 2.81 on 19 Aug 2011.

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18 August 2011

 

DBS STI ETF 100

bought 100 units at 2.89 on 18 Aug 2011.

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17 August 2011

 

DBS STI ETF 100

bought 100 units at 2.90 on 17 Aug 2011.

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16 August 2011

 

DBS STI ETF 100

bought 200 units at 2.94 on 16 Aug 2011.

queued to buy at 2.92 but not filled yesterday.

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12 August 2011

 

Forex demo trading results from 05 to 11 Aug 2011

14 trades successful (70%) while 6 trades stopped out with losses (30%).

this is a tremendous improvement against previous period!

I'll continue the demo trading exercises using existing two strategies until past deficit in demo account disappears.



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DBS STI ETF 100

bought 300 units at 2.88 on 11 Aug 2011.

queued to buy at 2.80 but not filled yesterday.

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10 August 2011

 

DBS STI ETF 100

bought 100 units at 2.92 on 10 Aug 2011.

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08 August 2011

 

DBS STI ETF 100

bought 100 units at 2.93 on 08 Aug 2011.

I'm more than happy to buy and own part of the bluest companies of all in Singapore.

I realized for the first time in my whole life that bear is not so bad as imagined.

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05 August 2011

 

GuocoLeisure

sold at 0.775, better than TP of 0.75 being 0.618 rebound level, on 02 Aug 2011.

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DBS STI ETF 100

bought 1100 units at 3.16 on 03 Aug 2011 to make up shortfalls from 20 Jul 2011 to 03Aug 2011.

bought 100 units at 3.15 on 04 Aug 2011.

bought 200 units at 3.04 on 05 Aug 2011.

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Forex demo trading results from 22 Jul 2011 to 04 Aug 2011

19 trades successful (58%) while 14 trades stopped out with losses (42%).

this is a tremendous improvement!

I'll continue the demo trading excercise using existing two strategies.


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