30 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
EWU
Labels: Live Trading Records
28 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
26 April 2014
DV
Labels: Live Trading Records
25 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
24 April 2014
ES3 (STI ETF)
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding ES3 in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
23 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
22 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
21 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
18 April 2014
PXD
Labels: Live Trading Records
17 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
16 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
15 April 2014
Resigned from Saipem
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
DV
Labels: Live Trading Records
14 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
12 April 2014
BAC
Labels: Live Trading Records
11 April 2014
历史统计证明100%成功率的投资方法
我现在投资的目的主要是保障在不工作的情况下也可以有舒适的生活。我总是假定未来已经没有薪水收入来弥补投资亏损。因此,我的投资也越来越保守,对那些主要靠搏概率来取胜的冒险方法都一律退避三舍。
如果你和我一样,投资主要的目的是在低风险的前提下获取稳定的回报,而不是追逐暴利,那我向你推荐以下这三条禁得住历史考验,几乎有100%成功概率的投资方法:
1. 着眼于长期回报
市场每天都在波动,除了神仙,谁也不可能准确预测明天的涨跌。因此,无论你是买股票,买房,还是投资债券,你总是可能会买在高点或者买在腰上。但是,尽管短期内有波动,但长期来看,总是向上增长的。根据统计,在发达国家的股票历史上,还没有出现过股票指数下跌后,经过10年还没有反弹到下跌前水平的情况。同样,房地产每年涨涨跌跌,但也几乎是平均8年左右就铁定价格翻倍。
S&P 500有记录以来平均长期年回报为9.8%, 道指的平均年回报率为9.6%。 也就是说,历史证明,只要你的投资回报能达到股市的平均水平并且你有能力坚持10年以上,你就有几乎100% 的概率能够战胜市场波动,获取近10%的年收益。相对于每年3%左右的平均通货膨胀,这个回报率对大多数投资者来讲还算是不错吧。
因此,为规避风险,我们应该着眼于10年以上的投资期限。在决定投资前,必须审视自己的现金流,保证自己有足够的能力,不会在短期之内就因为财务状况的变化而被迫变现。
2. 把买股票当作买生意
巴菲特常说,买股票就像买农场。他选股的时候,总是假设自己要买一项生意,例如农场,来自己经营。他关心的是企业的盈利能力,现金水平,未来顾客需求变化等等,而不是现在股市的高低,市场分析师对股市的判断等等。巴菲特评估企业的内在价值来判断是否应该投资,而基本上忽略当前股市技术指标。
这值得我们学习。说到底,对一个长期投资者来说,一只股票的价格,最终是由股票背后所代表的企业的盈利能力决定的。我们买股票时,不要被股评、技术指标、趋势等等迷惑,而是要着重于了解该企业从事的业务,分析企业的价值。我们应该问自己,如果我是该企业的业主,我现在对企业的未来是否有信心。
像我一样的普通投资者,做不到巴菲特那种层次的企业价值分析。但我们至少可以做到一点:不投资于自己不了解的行业。
3. 制定自己的纪律
是人就会有感情,有感情就会有贪婪和恐惧的时候,这绝对可以理解。但是,如果我们任由贪婪和恐惧左右自己,就会在眼红别人赚钱的贪念下追涨,或者在股市下跌时盲目抛售。
为避免贪婪和恐惧主宰我们的投资行为,很重要的一点就是坚持以企业价值为核心的原则,制定自己的入市或者抛售的纪律。例如,不少投资者在建仓时都遇到这样的情况,自己喜欢一只股票,但嫌现在的价格太高,希望跌一点再买。但该股票真跌的时候,又害怕明天会再跌,所以没买。再过两天,股价又涨回去了,最终还是没买成。为避免这种情况,一个方法就是在研究完股票价值之后,制定自己的购买价格和数量,把这当作一项纪律来执行,只要价格达到了就买,不要犹豫。
我们执行自己的纪律就像是自己开交易所,自己下单一样:只要达到了下单的价位,就一定要买卖成交。如果没有达到,任凭市场变化也自巍然不动。
以上三点,是我个人的体会。但是,每个人的具体情况不一样,尤其是承担亏损风险的能力不一样,应该根据自己的财务状况总结出最适合自己的投资方法。如果你的主要投资目的是为退休做准备的话,欢迎经常访问我们的网站 早退休| zaotuixiu.com,大家多多交流。
Labels: Reference
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
10 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
09 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy
Labels: Live Trading Records
08 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy.
Labels: Live Trading Records
07 April 2014
ENDP
Market demonstrated again that individual companies are unreliable compared to ETFs.
Labels: Live Trading Records
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy.
Labels: Live Trading Records
05 April 2014
YHOO
Labels: Live Trading Records
NOV
Labels: Live Trading Records
EWT
Labels: Live Trading Records
CIEN
Labels: Live Trading Records
BAC
Labels: Live Trading Records
04 April 2014
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I believe that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy.
Labels: Live Trading Records
SYK
Labels: Live Trading Records
ATK
Labels: Live Trading Records
03 April 2014
芒格语录
2. 如果你买了一个伟大的公司,你就坐那儿待着就行了。
3.无论何时,如果你觉得有东西在摧毁你的生活,那个东西就是你自己。老觉得自己是受害者的想法是最削弱自己的利器。
4.人们破产的常见原因是不能控制心理上的纠结。你花了这么多心血、这么多金钱,花的越多,就越容易这么想:“估计快成了,再多花一点儿,就能成了……” 人们就是这么破产的----因为他们不肯停下来想想:“之前投入的就算没了呗,我承受得起,我还可以重新振作。我不需要为这件事情沉迷不误,这可能会毁了我的。”
5.你要强迫自己去考虑对立的观点。如果你不能比你的对手更好地说服对方,那说明你的理解还不够。
6.大部分生活和事业上的成功来自于有意避免了一些东西:早死、错误的婚姻、等等。
7.经常对照一下清单可以避免错误。你们应该掌握这些基础的智慧。对照清单之前还要过一遍心理清单(意指平常心),这个方法是无可替代的。
8.我们都爱大量阅读,聪明人都这样,但这还不够,你还应该有一种批判接受、合理应用的态度。大部分人看书都没有抓到正确的重点,看完了又不会学以致用。
9.做空行为是很危险的。
10.在空头位置,又看到股价遇到利好大涨,这是一件特别让人气愤的事情。人生苦短,遭受这种气愤太不值当了。
11.巴菲特和我不是因为成功预测了宏观经济并且依此下注才获得今天的成功的。
12.游戏的重点不是非常多的动作而是非常大的耐心。要坚守你的原则,当机会出现的时候,就大力出击。
13.如果想提高你的认知能力,忘记过去犯过的错误是坚决不行的。
14.承认自己不懂某样东西意味着智慧的曙光即将来临。
15.我们努力做到通过牢记常识而不是通过知晓尖端知识赚钱。
16.你只有学会了如何学习才能进步。
Labels: Investment Quote, Warren Buffett
G3B
Will continue to sell progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays above 80; On the other hand, will buy progressively every day as long as RSI 14 stays below 20. I expect that these operations can progressively reduce overall average cost of holding G3B in the long term. - New strategy.
Labels: Live Trading Records
EWC
Labels: Live Trading Records
02 April 2014
EWQ
Labels: Live Trading Records
APOL
Labels: Live Trading Records